环境温度与伤害之间的关联:使用上海紧急救护车发送的时间序列分析
Yan Hu1,2, Zhifeng Zhang3, Li Peng4
1School of Health Science and Engineering, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China.
Preventive medicine reports
|July 31, 2025
概括
极端温度增加了伤害风险,包括交通事故,跌倒和袭击. 像老年妇女和年轻男子这样的特定群体在极端温度期间更容易受到某些类型的伤害.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 伤害流行病学 伤害流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 伤害是全球主要的死亡原因,气候变化加剧了这一问题.
- 极端天气事件带来越来越多的健康风险,需要研究环境对受伤模式的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查环境温度与上海的各种伤害机制之间的关联.
- 为了确定特定的人群容易受到与温度相关的伤害.
主要方法:
- 利用了受伤相关的紧急救护车调度数据 (2016-2021) 和气象数据.
- 采用分布式滞后非线性模型 (DLNM) 来评估温度损伤关联.
- 根据性别,年龄和受伤类型进行了子组分析.
主要成果:
- 极端温度与增加的伤害发送相关,包括交通事故,跌倒和袭击.
- 低温增加了摔倒伤害的风险,特别是在46岁以上的女性中.
- 极端的热量增加了18-45岁的人的交通事故和攻击风险,男性的攻击伤害率更高.
结论:
- 研究结果强调了极端温度与特定类型的伤害之间的联系.
- 结果可以为医院前急救服务提供有针对性的干预措施,以减轻极端天气期间的伤害发生率和死亡率.
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