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模拟淡水自然期货的新途径
Lilith Kramer1,2,3, Sven Teurlincx1, Brenda Rashleigh4
1Department of Aquatic Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, The Netherlands.
概括
自然未来框架 (NFF) 可以通过整合各种人与自然的关系来改善淡水生态系统评估. 这种方法增强了淡水建模和情景开发的社会利益.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 淡水生态系统拥有丰富的生物多样性,并为人类提供重要利益.
- 这些系统面临着不成比例的威胁,在全球环境评估中代表性不足.
- 自然未来框架 (NFF) 通过将人类与自然的关系作为中心,为环境评估提供了一种新的方法.
研究的目的:
- 探索 NFF 的实施,以加强淡水生态系统评估.
- 将NFF的价值观 (自然为自然,自然为社会,自然为文化) 转化为淡水系统.
- 识别与NFF有关的当前淡水模型中的差距,并提出解决方案.
主要方法:
- 概述NFF向淡水系统的转化,并从每个角度定义可取的未来.
- 审查淡水评估的场景策略和当前模型.
- 分析淡水建模如何与NFF的目标和结果保持一致.
主要成果:
- 国家淡水基金为了解各种淡水未来提供了有价值的透镜.
- 目前的淡水模型并没有完全捕捉到NFF的所有方面.
- 建议使用特定方法来弥补淡水建模中发现的差距.
结论:
- 整合NFF价值观点可以导致更全面的淡水建模和情景开发.
- 使用NFF框架改进的淡水评估提供了显著的社会效益.
- 这项研究为推动淡水生态系统管理和保护提供了未来的方向.
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