基于集成学习模型的煤矿输水导电断裂区高度预测
Meng Wang1, Xufeng Zhang2, Xin Li1
1College of Mining, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin, 123000, Liaoning, China.
Scientific reports
|August 1, 2025
概括
一个新的堆叠集体学习模型准确地预测了煤矿中导水断裂区 (WCFZ) 的高度. 这种先进的机器学习方法改善了矿井水危险评估,优于传统方法.
科学领域:
- 地质工程是地质工程.
- 机器学习应用 机器学习应用
- 计算地质科学计算地质科学
背景情况:
- 准确预测导水断裂区 (WCFZ) 高度对于防止矿井水危险至关重要.
- 实证公式和模拟等传统方法在准确性和效率方面存在局限性.
- 了解影响WCFZ高度的复杂地质和采矿因素至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一种新的堆叠合体学习模型,用于在煤矿中增强WCFZ高度预测.
- 将XGBoost,支持向量回归 (SVR) 和CatBoost集成到一个强大的双层预测模型中.
- 评估模型的性能与实证公式,独立模型和数值模拟相比.
主要方法:
- 设计了一个堆叠的集体学习模型,XGBoost和SVR作为基础学习者,CatBoost作为meta-learner.
- 地质和采矿参数,包括采矿高度,埋藏深度和岩石学特性,被用作输入特征.
- 该模型经过训练和验证,使用来自No. 胡申煤矿的3个煤层.
主要成果:
- 拟议的堆叠组合模型实现了高精度的WCFZ高度预测50.79m,与测量值密切匹配.
- 该模型显著超过经验公式 (61.4米),独立SVR (58.14米),XGBoost (56.62米) 和FLAC3D模拟 (55米).
- 优秀的预测性能得到证实,R2为0.98和RMSE为2.08.
结论:
- 该研究成功地为WCFZ高度预测引入了堆叠集体学习,提供了更准确,更智能的替代方案.
- 这种新的方法克服了预测WCFZ高度的单一模型和基于模拟的方法的局限性.
- 开发的模型代表了矿井水危险评估在地下地质工程中的重大进步.
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