武装冲突对撒哈拉以南非洲的可再生能源的动态和溢出影响
1Universite Clermont Auvergne, Universite d'Orleans, LEO, 45067, Orleans, France.
Journal of environmental management
|August 2, 2025
概括
武装冲突在撒哈拉以南非洲地区的可再生能源消耗量显著减少,超过18%. 冲突也会对邻国产生负面影响,阻碍可持续发展和绿色投资.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 可再生能源的转型对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 政治不稳定和武装冲突对这种过渡构成威胁.
- 撒哈拉以南非洲地区面临着冲突和能源需求的重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查武装冲突对46个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的可再生能源消费的影响.
- 分析冲突对可再生能源使用的空间和时间影响.
- 确定冲突影响可再生能源的传输道.
主要方法:
- 动态空间计量经济学方法.
- 动态空间德宾模型应用于2000年至2020年的数据.
- 考虑冲突类型和地区的异质性分析.
主要成果:
- 武装冲突显著减少了可再生能源的消耗18.76%.
- 空间溢出效应显示,对邻国有14%的负面影响.
- 沙赫尔地区的恐怖主义和冲突具有更明显的负面影响.
结论:
- 武装冲突是撒哈拉以南非洲地区可再生能源消费的主要障碍.
- 阻碍经济发展,增加军事开支和不确定性是关键的传播道.
- 解决冲突对于实现可再生能源目标和可持续发展至关重要.
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