自2010年以来,中国的内部移民是否更加稳定? 基于移民年龄档案的贡献
1Lau China Institute, King's College London, London, UK.
概括
自2010年以来,中国的内部移民在定居方面仅略有改善,这表明需要加强hukou改革. 年龄数据显示,在家庭团结和移民长期停留方面取得的进展有限.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 移民研究 移民研究
背景情况:
- 中国的内部移民是广泛的,具有重大政策影响.
- 户口 (家庭登记) 改革旨在改善移民的融入和定居.
- 评估移民定居点对于有效的政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估近期的"湖口"改革在加强移民在中国定居的有效性.
- 利用年龄数据分析2010年至2020年间移民定居模式的变化.
- 评估家庭团结和长期移民逗留的改善情况.
主要方法:
- 分析来自中国2010年和2020年全国人口普查的特定年龄的移民库存数据.
- 应用一种检查年龄档案的方法,以推断定居方面.
- 评估依赖者 (儿童,老年人) 的移民和现场老龄化趋势.
主要成果:
- 移民年龄分布稍微向更均的方向转移,但仍然集中在年轻人中.
- 在2010年至2020年期间,观察到移民整体定居情况略有改善.
- 在老年移民家庭团聚和长期定居方面取得的进展有限.
结论:
- 目前的hukou改革在移民安置方面取得了不令人满意的改善.
- 在hukou政策和移民支持方面需要大幅度改进.
- 年龄数据为评估移民实际定居程度提供了有价值的客观指标.
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