在一般化的SEIR模型中应用非线性随机分数系统
H Tamimi1, R Saadati1, M B Ghaemi1
1School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Iran University of Science and Technology, Narmak, Tehran 16846-13114, Iran.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|August 4, 2025
概括
这项研究将易感,暴露,感染和恢复 (SEIR) 模型概括为随机疾病传播,解释季节性疾病模式. 它还使用新的数值方法分析模型解决方案和融合.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 动态系统 动态系统
背景情况:
- 标准SEIR模型被广泛用于传染病动态.
- 了解间歇性和季节性疾病传播对于公共卫生至关重要.
- 通用流行病学模型提高了它们对现实世界的适用性.
研究的目的:
- 将SEIR模型用于随机和间歇性疾病传播进行概括.
- 调查确保存在模型解决方案的条件.
- 引入一种新的方法来检查模型的融合和应用数值方法.
主要方法:
- 包含随机性的SEIR模型的概括.
- 应用非紧度的测量来分析解决方案的存在.
- 开发一种新的趋同分析技术.
- 实践示例的数值模拟. 实际示例的数值模拟.
主要成果:
- 一个通用的SEIR模型,能够捕捉间歇性传输动态.
- 建立了至少有一个解决方案存在的条件.
- 证明了拟议数值方法的收性质.
- 通过实践案例研究验证模型和方法.
结论:
- 一般化的SEIR模型为研究季节性和间歇性传染病提供了更现实的框架.
- 数学分析确保了模型的稳定性和可靠性.
- 拟议的数值方法为疾病建模和预测提供了有效的工具.
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