城市人口老龄化和老年人护理设施之间的匹配是否实现了合协调? - - 基于时空演变和多因素相互作用机制的经验分析
1College of Resources and Environmental Engineering, Tianshui Normal University, Tianshui, China.
Frontiers in public health
|August 6, 2025
概括
人口老龄化带来了挑战,特别是在欠发达地区. 这项研究揭示了老年护理设施的分布不均,协调和公平性低,突出了需要量身定制的资源分配战略.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 全球人口老龄化带来社会经济挑战,影响资源分配,社会保障和土地利用,特别是在欠发达地区.
- 关于人口老龄化和老年人护理设施之间的空间协调存在研究不足,阻碍了基于证据的资源优化.
- 了解这些动态对于开发有效的老年护理基础设施和土地利用规划策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 探索人口老龄化的时间和空间演变及其与甘省老年人护理设施 (2000-2020) 的关系.
- 评估老龄化人口和护理机构之间的匹配公平性和合协调.
- 确定对老年护理资源的空间匹配产生影响的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 使用ArcGIS进行空间可视化分析.
- 衡量匹配股权的吉尼系数.
- 合协调度模型用于评估关系.
- 地理探测器用于识别影响因素.
主要成果:
- 甘省呈现着日益增长的老龄化水平,具有显著的空间异质性,特别是北部和中部地区的老龄化加速.
- 老年人护理设施分布不均,主要集中在发达城市,缺少在欠发达地区.
- 匹配权益并没有持续改善,老化和设施之间的整体合协调仍然很低.
- 人口密度,经济发展,财政投资和数字金融是影响因素的关键因素,人口密度和老龄化显示出最强的相互作用.
结论:
- 该研究为优化老年护理基础设施和欠发达地区的土地利用规划提供了科学基础.
- 需要量身定制的方法来提高基于当地条件的老年护理资源分配的公平性.
- 解决人口老龄化和护理设施之间的空间不匹配对于可持续的区域发展至关重要.
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