病假对儿童人力资本的代际影响
Julie Riise1, Barton Willage2, Alexander Willén3
1IZA, Germany; Department of Economics, University of Bergen, Norway.
Journal of health economics
|August 6, 2025
概括
父母获得更长的病假对孩子的教育成绩和未来收入产生负面影响. 这项研究揭示了社会保险政策的长期代际影响.
科学领域:
- 社会经济学 社会经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 教育政策 教育政策
背景情况:
- 政府的社会保险计划对家庭福祉有很大的影响.
- 了解这些计划的代际影响对于政策评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查家长病假对儿童教育成绩和社会经济发展轨迹的长期影响.
- 估计增加获得病假的机会对父母福利和随后儿童发展的影响.
主要方法:
- 在挪威,利用近乎随机的患者分配给全科医生.
- 链接有关父母及其子女的行政数据,以追踪教育和经济成果.
- 使用计量经济学方法来确定病假持续时间的因果关系.
主要成果:
- 被分配给更宽容的全科医生的孩子 (意味着更长的病假机会) 呈现出更低的青少年GPA.
- 在父母有更多病假的孩子中,完成高中教育的可能性降低,高等教育入学率下降.
- 父母的长期收入下降,社会福利的依赖性增加,精神健康恶化与更大的病假利用.
结论:
- 父母病假政策可能对儿童的人力资本和社会经济地位产生重大,不利的代际影响.
- 政策干预应考虑对家庭福祉和教育轨迹的长期影响.
- 这些发现突出了社会保险,父母健康和儿童发展结果之间的复杂相互作用.
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