在COVID-19死亡危机期间的动态家庭规模偏好:研究笔记
Letícia J Marteleto1, Sneha Kumar2
1Department of Sociology and Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Demography
|August 7, 2025
概括
在COVID-19大流行期间,在社区死亡人数上升的背景下,有孩子的妇女增加了理想的家庭规模,而没有孩子的妇女则增加了家庭规模.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- COVID-19 疫情对全球健康和社会行为产生了重大影响.
- 生育偏好对公共卫生危机和死亡率暴露很敏感.
研究的目的:
- 调查在COVID-19大流行期间巴西妇女的家庭规模偏好是如何改变的.
- 分析COVID-19死亡暴露对有孩子和没有孩子的妇女的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自巴西珀南布科州94个市镇的2,520名女性 (18-34岁) 的面板调查数据 (2020-2021年).
- 采用个人固定效应回归来将市级COVID-19死亡率的变化与所需家庭规模的变化联系起来.
- 对个人/家庭COVID-19感染状况和社会人口统计因素进行控制.
主要成果:
- 在基线没有孩子的妇女没有改变他们希望的家庭规模,以应对流行病死亡率.
- 有孩子的妇女显示,随着市政府的COVID-19死亡率上升,希望家庭规模的增长很小,但在统计学上显著.
- 根据父母的身份,生育偏好有所不同,这表明对与流行病相关的死亡率有不同的反应.
结论:
- 有孩子的妇女可能试图巩固或扩大他们的家庭,以应对疫情期间社区的损失.
- 调查结果突出了流行病相关死亡率和中等收入国家生育决策之间的复杂相互作用.
- 有助于了解公共卫生紧急情况期间对生育偏好的情境影响.
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