通过中国住宅建筑的需求侧解决方案减轻排放和成本
Kairui You1,2, Yan Li3,4, Weiguang Cai5
1The Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, 100081, Beijing, China. youkairui@bit.edu.cn.
Nature communications
|August 9, 2025
概括
中国住宅建筑的需求侧解决方案可以大幅减少47%的碳排放,并节省成本. 这种方法使农村地区能够在没有二氧化碳去除技术的情况下实现碳中和.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 建筑业分析 建筑业分析
背景情况:
- 建筑行业对于减缓气候变化至关重要.
- 需求侧解决方案可以调节供应部门对脱碳的服务和产品需求.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国住宅建筑行业需求侧解决方案的脱碳和节约成本潜力.
- 开发需求侧解决方案框架和最终使用技术模型.
主要方法:
- 开发了需求侧解决方案框架和最终使用技术模型.
- 建模了建筑业和主要供应部门,考虑了异质影响.
- 分析了成本效益和减排潜力.
主要成果:
- 最乐观,最具成本效益的需求侧解决方案可将累计二氧化碳排放量减少47% (42.21 Gt CO2eq).
- 在2020-2060年间实现了16%的成本净现值节约.
- 需求侧解决方案使农村住宅建筑在不去除二氧化碳的情况下实现碳中和.
结论:
- 需求侧解决方案为中国住宅部门的显著脱碳提供了可行的途径.
- 这些解决方案节省了大量的成本,并提高了实现碳中和目标的确定性.
- 农村住宅建筑可以通过这些需求侧策略独立实现碳中和.
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