关于尼日利亚农业实践和粮食安全的系统动态分析
Chinemelum Amarachukwu Eneh1, Onyenekenwa Cyprian Eneh2
1Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu State, Nigeria.
Journal of health, population, and nutrition
|August 10, 2025
概括
尼日利亚的粮食安全仍然是一个挑战,尽管农业的努力. 可持续农业,气候适应和更好的分配是改善粮食供应和获取长期成功的关键.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 食品安全研究 食品安全研究
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 几十年来,尼日利亚一直面临着持续的粮食不安全,自20世纪70年代以来,许多农业政策未能实现持久的解决方案.
- 了解不同农业模式的比较影响对于应对这一持续挑战至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查传统农业 (TA),可持续农业 (SA) 和工业农业 (IA) 在2000年至2022年期间对尼日利亚的粮食安全的影响.
- 分析气候变化和土地资源动态对尼日利亚粮食安全结果的影响.
主要方法:
- 采用系统动态建模方法,整合优化和线性编程技术.
- 利用尼日利亚和9个可比国家的数据来确保模型的稳定性,并考虑气候和土地动态.
主要成果:
- 在研究期间,作物产量呈现增长,但整体粮食安全水平波动.
- 土地退化和粮食分配不公平被认为是导致粮食安全不稳定的重要因素.
- 仅仅是农业生产率的提高并不能确保持续的粮食安全.
结论:
- 可持续的农业实践对于提高尼日利亚的长期粮食安全至关重要.
- 气候变化适应战略必须纳入农业规划.
- 改善食品分发系统与提高生产同样重要,以实现粮食安全.
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