相反的目的地? 潜在家庭大小的新兴意图轨迹
1University of Pécs, Department of Sociology and Research Center for Contemporary Challenges, Hungary; Hungarian Demographic Research Institute, Hungary.
Advances in life course research
|August 12, 2025
概括
在匈牙利,大约10%的年轻人选择故意不生孩子,而超过25%的目标是大家庭,挑战传统的两个孩子的理想. 年龄和教育等因素会影响这些生育轨迹.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 生殖健康 生殖健康
背景情况:
- 欧洲的生育率,包括匈牙利的生育率,都低于替代水平.
- 尽管生育率低,但两个孩子的家庭的社会理想仍然存在.
研究的目的:
- 确定其他生育轨迹:故意的无子女和大家庭.
- 分析影响这些轨迹的人口,社会经济和态度因素.
主要方法:
- 基于组的轨迹分析.
- 利用了来自匈牙利世代和性别调查 (2001-2016) 的数据.
- 分析了年龄在18-33岁之间的个人子样本.
主要成果:
- 大约10%的年轻成年人 (18-33岁) 正在走向故意无子女的轨迹上.
- 超过25%的年轻人正朝着拥有一个大家庭的轨迹前进.
- 年龄,伙伴关系状况,教育和职业方向显著影响了选择轨迹.
结论:
- 匈牙利的生育意图显示,与两个孩子的标准有显著的偏差.
- 教育对自愿无子女的轨迹有着显著的,有时是意想不到的影响.
- 了解这些不同的生育途径对于人口和社会政策至关重要.
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