贝叶斯推理依赖应力强度可靠性系列平行系统的依赖应力强度可靠性基于copula
Li Zhang1, Rongfang Yan2,3, Junrui Wang1
1College of Mathematics and Statistics, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, 730070, China.
Scientific reports
|August 12, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了使用克莱顿合器在串行并行系统中分析依赖应力强度可靠性的方法. 它提供了系统可靠性的统计估计和置信区间,通过模拟和现实数据验证.
科学领域:
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 依赖性分析分析
背景情况:
- 评估复杂系统的可靠性至关重要.
- 了解压力-强度关系,特别是当依赖时,是具有挑战性的.
- 现有的模型可能无法完全捕捉复杂的依赖结构.
研究的目的:
- 在串行并行系统中开发依赖应力强度可靠性的推理程序.
- 用克莱顿偶来建模压力和力量之间的依赖.
- 为系统可靠性提供频率和贝叶斯估计.
主要方法:
- 使用克莱顿囊用于依赖模型.
- 已建立的最大概率估计 (MLE) 参数和可靠性.
- 采用贝叶斯推理与马-贝塔先验和大都会-哈斯廷斯算法.
- 为绩效评估进行蒙特卡洛模拟.
主要成果:
- 为依赖应力强度可靠性开发了新的推理程序.
- 使用MLE和贝叶斯方法提供了对系统可靠性的准确估计.
- 通过模拟来证明拟议方法的有效性.
- 分析了关于伊斯坦布尔大占用率的真实世界数据集.
结论:
- 提出的方法为分析依赖应力强度可靠性提供了强大的工具.
- 克莱顿配方有效地模拟了依赖结构.
- 该研究为复杂系统可靠性评估提供了宝贵的见解.
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