评估印度中部河流盆地的气候变化和干旱地区
Shekhar Singh1, Vijay Jain1, Manish Kumar Goyal2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Indore, Simrol, Indore, 453552, Madhya Pradesh, India.
Scientific reports
|August 13, 2025
概括
气候变化加剧了印度的干旱. 这项研究使用了一种新的方法来绘制降雨变化图,并确定贝特瓦和克希普拉盆地的干旱易感地区,以帮助水资源管理.
科学领域:
- 水文学的水文学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 气候变化正在增加印度干旱的严重程度和强度,原因是雨量不稳定和气温上升.
- 有效的适应和减缓战略需要对这些气候引起的变化进行彻底评估.
研究的目的:
- 通过基于随机的方法来评估降雨变化,并确定印度易受干旱的地区.
- 开发水资源可用性地图并评估气象和水文干旱.
主要方法:
- 采用基于随机的方法来计算跨年和年内多个时间尺度的降雨变化.
- 使用标准化降水指数 (SPI),标准化降水-蒸发透气指数 (SPEI) 和标准化流水指数 (SRI) 来评估干旱条件.
- 根据值计算准备了一个水资源可用性地图.
主要成果:
- 冬季,季风前和季风后的季节被确定为年度降雨变化的关键因素.
- 53.88%的贝特瓦和54.57%的克希普拉水资源属于易受伤害的B类和C类.
- 南部和中部Kshipra,北部和中部Betwa地区极易发生干旱,持续时间长,严重程度高.
结论:
- 该研究确定了贝特瓦和克希普拉盆地的特定地区对干旱非常脆弱.
- 调查结果为决策者提供了关键数据,以实施有针对性的水资源管理干预措施.
- 该研究支持制定有效的干旱行动计划,以适应气候变化.
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