DTCMMA:基于维度转换结合多维和多尺度卷积注意力机制的高效风力发电预测
Wenhan Song1, Enguang Zuo2,3, Junyu Zhu1
1School of Computer Science and Technology, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|August 14, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种新的风力发电预测方法,DTCMMA,通过转换数据和使用先进的注意力机制,准确预测能源输出. 该模型显著提高了清洁能源整合的预测准确性和计算效率.
科学领域:
- 可再生能源系统可再生能源系统
- 人工智能在能源中的作用
- 时间序列预测时间序列预测
背景情况:
- 精确的风力发电预测对于稳定的电网运行至关重要,因为清洁能源需求日益增长.
- 像RNN和LSTM这样的现有模型与长期依赖性作斗争,而变形机则面临长时间序列和捕捉局部周期性特征的效率问题.
- 风力发电本质上是不确定的,在多个尺度上波动,受气象条件的影响.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种高效准确的风力发电预测方法,解决现有模型的局限性.
- 增强风力发电数据中长期时间依赖和局部周期特征的建模.
- 为了提高预测准确性和计算效率,用于长序风力发电预测.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个维度转换的协作多维多尺度注意力 (DTCMMA) 方法用于风力发电预测.
- 利用快速里埃转换 (FFT) 来重建1D时间序列成2D时空表示,编码周期性特征.
- 设计了一个协作多维多尺度注意力 (CMMA) 机制,集成道,空间和像素注意力与不对称的卷积内核.
主要成果:
- 在长序预测任务中,DTCMMA在变压器,iTransformer和TimeMixer上表现优越.
- 在平均平方误差 (MSE) 性能方面取得了显著的改进:比变压器34.22%,比iTransformer2.57%和比TimeMixer0.51%.
- 该模型的训练速度比最快的基线快300%,表明计算效率提高.
结论:
- DTCMMA为风力发电预测提供了一种高效准确的解决方案,其性能优于当前最先进的方法.
- 该方法有效地捕捉了复杂的时空依赖性和周期性特征,这对于风能预测至关重要.
- 这一进步支持风能在全球能源结构中的整合和应用.
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