气候变化和人口:关于21世纪决定性挑战的人口观点
Roman Hoffmann1, Liliana Andriano2, Erich Striessnig3
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/OeAW, University of Vienna), Laxenburg, Austria.
概括
气候变化是由人类活动驱动的,并通过极端天气,海平面上升和生态系统变化对人口产生深刻影响. 了解人口气候联系对于有效的缓解和适应战略至关重要.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境研究 环境研究
背景情况:
- 人类人口是气候危机的核心,无论是驱动因素还是受影响的当事人.
- 人类活动,特别是化石燃料的燃烧,正在改变气候系统.
- 社会面临着气候变化对健康,安全和福祉的影响不断升级的风险.
研究的目的:
- 探索气候变化的多面人口统计层面.
- 提供关于人口在推动气候变化及其影响中的作用的全面概述.
- 检查与健康,死亡率,移民和生育率有关的气候人口关系.
主要方法:
- 来自51位作者的跨学科贡献.
- 分析着名学者发表的研究文章和辩论文章.
- 应用人口学观点和方法论工具,包括数据分析,建模和预测.
主要成果:
- 人类活动是观察到的气候变化的主要驱动因素.
- 气候变化对人口健康,死亡率,移民模式和生殖行为产生重大影响.
- 人口科学为理解和解决气候人口关系提供了关键的工具.
结论:
- 整体的研究视角对于将气候风险纳入人口统计研究和反之亦然至关重要.
- 有效的缓解和适应战略需要对人口与气候变化之间的复杂关系有充分的了解.
- 人口统计的洞察力对于开发对全球和地方气候挑战的公平解决方案至关重要.
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