模拟影响哥伦比亚无家可归者物质消费的变量
Leandro González Támara1, Sandra Patricia Barragán Moreno2
1Superior School of Public Administration, Territorial Cundinamarca, Fusagasugá, Colombia.
Frontiers in sociology
|August 14, 2025
概括
在哥伦比亚的无家可归者中,吸毒是很常见的,特别是年轻人和最近无家可归的人. 无家可归者的年龄和持续时间是影响这种关系的关键因素,为有针对性的公共卫生干预提供了信息.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 在哥伦比亚,无家可归是一个重要的社会问题.
- 精神活性物质的使用与无家可归有很强的相关性.
- 了解这些联系对于有效的公共政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 模拟影响哥伦比亚无家可归人口中物质使用的变量.
- 为公共政策制定提供数据驱动的洞察力.
- 确定与物质使用相关的主要人口和社会经济因素.
主要方法:
- 使用国家统计局 (DANE) 人口普查数据 (2017年,2019年,2021年).
- 应用了两阶段的定量方法:描述性分析和随机森林预测建模.
- 专注于可用的变量,承认心理社会数据的局限性.
主要成果:
- 年龄和无家可归的持续时间是与物质使用有关的最有影响力的变量.
- 66-68%的无家可归人口报告了精神活性物质的消费.
- 较年轻的人和无家可归时间较短的人的消费率较高;男性比女性更容易使用物质.
结论:
- 在哥伦比亚的无家可归者中,吸毒很普遍,受人口因素的影响.
- 一个复杂的,双向的关系存在,无家可归和物质使用相互加强.
- 建议针对年轻人和最近无家可归的人进行有针对性的干预.
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