模拟水文过程和分析水平衡利用遥感数据和物理水文模型在中国的南平原
Zhong Lu1,2, Jinliang Zhang1,2, Chaoqun Li1,2
1Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan province, China.
PloS one
|August 14, 2025
概括
这项研究使用MIKE SHE/MIKE 11模型模拟了40年来宁平原的水循环,整合了GRACE和GLDAS数据. 结果揭示了蒸发,流失和地下水位的趋势,这对于了解区域水资源管理至关重要.
科学领域:
- 水文学和地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 环境建模环境建模
- 气候变化影响评估 气候变化影响评估
背景情况:
- 区域水循环受到气候变化和人类活动的重大影响.
- 精确模拟这些过程对于理解不断变化的环境中的水资源动态至关重要.
- 南平原面临着复杂的水循环变化,需要详细分析.
研究的目的:
- 模拟和分析过去40年来南平原的水循环过程.
- 评估气候变化和人类活动对区域水资源的影响.
- 为缺乏水的地区提供区域水循环模拟的新方法.
主要方法:
- 使用了MIKE SHE/MIKE 11合水文模型.
- 综合多源遥感数据,测量水文数据和GRACE/GLDAS地下水数据.
- 分析了40年的数据来模拟水循环模式和趋势.
主要成果:
- 模拟器准确地复制了水循环变化,平均实际蒸发转化率为421.61mm (-0.36mm/a) 和表面下水流量为36.26mm (-0.025mm/a).
- 地下水位呈现出微弱的下降趋势 (平均169.2米).
- 根据土地使用和时间段,水平衡有很大差异,干旱地区和田出现明显的赤字.
结论:
- 集成的MIKE SHE/MIKE 11模型与GRACE/GLDAS数据有效模拟区域水循环动态.
- 水资源管理策略必须考虑土地利用变化和气候变化.
- 该研究提供了在水资源稀缺地区对水循环模拟的创新方法.
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