[中国交通基础设施,经济增长和碳排放之间的脱效应和互动关系]
Zhi-Guo Shao1, Ke-Xin Li1, Meng-di Li2
1School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao 266525, China.
Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue
|August 14, 2025
概括
中国的交通基础设施发展显示出与碳排放的复杂脱,整体改善,但仍然不稳定. 经济增长也会影响排放,需要为可持续发展制定有针对性的低碳战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 运输工程 运输工程
背景情况:
- 交通基础设施的发展对于经济增长至关重要,但有助于碳排放.
- 实现中国的"双碳"目标需要了解基础设施,经济和排放之间的相互作用.
- 这些因素之间的动态关系和影响机制需要详细的区域分析.
研究的目的:
- 分析碳排放与运输基础设施之间的脱状态,以及碳排放与中国经济增长之间的脱状态.
- 研究交通基础设施,经济增长和碳排放之间的动态关系和内部影响机制.
- 为发展交通基础设施建设的低碳战略提供见解,以实现可持续的经济发展.
主要方法:
- 利用了2002年至2021年30个中国省份的面板数据.
- 采用塔皮奥脱模型来评估四个不同时期的脱状态.
- 应用了面板矢量自回归 (PVAR) 模型来检查动态关系和影响机制.
主要成果:
- 碳排放与运输基础设施的脱是通过"弱脱 → 强负脱 → 强脱 → 弱脱"演变的.
- 碳排放与经济增长之间的脱显示出"强烈脱,弱脱,扩张性合和扩张性负脱",整体情况有所改善,但局势不稳定.
- 交通基础设施对经济增长产生积极影响,两者都对碳排放产生积极影响,影响力因地区而异.
结论:
- 交通基础设施,经济增长和碳排放之间的关系是复杂和动态的.
- 虽然脱方面取得了进展,但实现稳定,低碳发展需要有针对性的战略.
- 调查结果支持为中国的可持续交通基础设施和经济增长制定明智的政策.
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