评估生物多样性趋势在一个近乎永久的不平衡状态
Etienne Lalechère1, Jonathan Lenoir2, Ronan Marrec2
1Center for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway; Centre for Computational and Data Science, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Trends in ecology & evolution
|August 15, 2025
概括
生物多样性评估通常假定平衡,但长期的干扰会产生非平衡状态. 本研究提出了一个使用时间影响函数来建模这些动态生物多样性趋势的新框架.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生物多样性研究 生物多样性研究
背景情况:
- 传统的生物多样性趋势评估依赖于"平衡假设",假设生物多样性总是与当前的环境驱动因素保持平衡.
- 现有的非平衡框架仍然认为,生物多样性与当代驱动因素在任何特定时间处于平衡状态.
研究的目的:
- 挑战生物多样性趋势评估中普遍存在的平衡假设.
- 提出一种新的概念框架,用于在长期,非平衡条件下理解和建模生物多样性.
- 为生态建模引入时间影响函数.
主要方法:
- 在长期干扰下对生物多样性动态的概念分析.
- 基于时间影响函数的新框架的开发.
- 将框架整合到现有的生态模型中.
主要成果:
- 确定长期的干扰会导致生物多样性的近乎永久的非平衡状态.
- 提出了适用于各种生态模型的灵活概念框架.
- 展示了框架的潜力,用于追溯过去和预测未来的非平衡生物多样性趋势.
结论:
- 均衡假设是理解生物多样性对环境变化的反应的一个重大局限.
- 为了准确的生物多样性评估,需要转向非平衡动态的范式转变.
- 拟议的时间影响函数框架为生态研究和保护提供了一个强大的工具.
相关概念视频
Conservation of Declining Populations
9.7K
Conservation of declining population focuses on ways of detecting, diagnosing, and halting a population decline. The approach uses methods to prevent populations from going extinct.
9.7K
Habitat Fragmentation
17.9K
Habitat fragmentation describes the division of a more extensive, continuous habitat into smaller, discontinuous areas. Human activities such as land conversion, as well as slower geological processes leading to changes in the physical environment, are the two leading causes of habitat fragmentation. The fragmentation process typically follows the same steps: perforation, dissection, fragmentation, shrinkage, and attrition.
17.9K
What is Biodiversity?
27.8K
Biodiversity describes the variety of living things at multiple organizational levels: genetic, species and ecosystem diversity. Species diversity includes all branches of the evolutionary tree from single-celled prokaryotic organisms, bacteria, and archaea, to the eukaryotic kingdoms: plants; animals; fungi; and protists. To date, there have been about 1.75 million species identified, and new species are discovered every week.
27.8K
Conservation of Small Populations
13.6K
Small population sizes put a species at extreme risk of extinction due to a lack of variation, and a consequent decrease in adaptability. This weakens the chances of survival under pressures such as climate change, competition from other species, or new diseases. Large populations are more likely to survive pressures such as these, as such populations are more likely to harbor individuals that have genetic variants that are adaptive under new stresses. Small populations are much less...
13.6K
Threats to Biodiversity
22.9K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.9K
Ecological Disturbance
17.5K
An ecological disturbance is a temporary disruption in the environment resulting from abiotic, biotic, or anthropogenic factors, causing a pronounced change in an ecosystem. The impact of an ecological disturbance, which can depend on its intensity, frequency, and spatial distribution, plays a significant role in shaping the species diversity within the ecosystem.
17.5K


