用公共监督和动态激励来建模和模拟铁路安全管理:一个四方进化游戏和系统动态方法
Xiaoxi Li1,2,3, Xueru Cao3, Jinyan Deng2
1Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Stereoscopic Traffic Information Perception and Fusion, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, China.
PloS one
|August 18, 2025
概括
整合公共监督和动态激励措施显著提高了铁路安全. 这种方法提高了运营安全率和辅助企业的生产力,这对于防止铁路行业事故和损失至关重要.
科学领域:
- 交通运输安全 运输安全
- 系统工程 系统工程
- 公共政策 公共政策
背景情况:
- 铁路事故对运输行业构成重大风险.
- 现有的安全治理结构需要加强以减轻这些风险.
- 公众参与是改善安全管理的关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 将公共监督框架纳入铁路运输安全治理.
- 通过一种新的进化游戏和系统动态模型来提高铁路运输安全.
- 为了解决安全战略演变中的不确定性和波动.
主要方法:
- 利用了四方进化游戏模型和系统动态.
- 使用Vensim软件进行模拟.
- 开发了一个动态的奖励-惩罚机制来稳定策略.
主要成果:
- 增加的公共监督与更高的安全运营率有积极的相关性.
- 辅助企业的与安全相关的生产率大大提高.
- 优化的系统实现了99.7%的安全运行率和87.2%的公共监督率.
结论:
- 有效的公众参与和动态的激励措施对于改善铁路安全管理至关重要.
- 该研究为全球铁路企业提供了宝贵的理论和实践见解.
- 实施该框架可以显著防止损失,并提高整个行业的安全性.
更多相关视频
相关概念视频
Dynamic Equilibrium
53.3K
A reversible chemical reaction represents a chemical process that proceeds in both forward (left to right) and reverse (right to left) directions. When the rates of the forward and reverse reactions are equal, the concentrations of the reactant and product species remain constant over time and the system is at equilibrium. A special double arrow is used to emphasize the reversible nature of the reaction. The relative concentrations of reactants and products in equilibrium systems vary greatly;...
53.3K
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
100
Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
100
PD Controller: Design
349
In automotive engineering, car suspension systems often employ Proportional Derivative (PD) controllers to enhance performance. PD controllers are utilized to adjust the damping force in response to road conditions. A controller, acting as an amplifier with a constant gain, demonstrates proportional control, with output directly mirroring input.
Designing a continuous-data controller requires selecting and linking components like adders and integrators, which are fundamental in Proportional,...
Designing a continuous-data controller requires selecting and linking components like adders and integrators, which are fundamental in Proportional,...
349
Multimachine Stability
229
Multimachine stability analysis is crucial for understanding the dynamics and stability of power systems with multiple synchronous machines. The objective is to solve the swing equations for a network of M machines connected to an N-bus power system.
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
229
Two-Dimensional Force System: Problem Solving
663
Solving problems related to two-dimensional force systems is an essential aspect of mechanics and engineering. By applying the principles of vector analysis and force equilibrium, one can determine the effect of multiple forces acting on an object in a two-dimensional space.
The first step to solving a two-dimensional force system problem is to draw a free-body diagram of the object under consideration. This diagram helps identify all the external forces acting on the object, including their...
The first step to solving a two-dimensional force system problem is to draw a free-body diagram of the object under consideration. This diagram helps identify all the external forces acting on the object, including their...
663
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
86
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
86


