能源转型,碳排放和网络效应:对全球工业弹性进行多阶段分析
Adnan Khurshid1, Khalid Khan2, Abdur Rauf3
1College of Economics and Management, Zhejiang Normal University, China.
Journal of environmental management
|August 19, 2025
概括
通过采用可再生能源增强了工业性,但碳排放量的增加可能会阻碍这一进展. 整合网络政策和结构改革对于持续的弹性和减少排放至关重要.
科学领域:
- 工业生态学 工业生态学
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 网络科学 网络科学
背景情况:
- 在面临能源和环境挑战的情况下,工业部门的性对经济稳定至关重要.
- 了解可再生能源,排放和网络强度之间的相互作用对于提高弹性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查工业弹性,可再生能源采用,碳排放和网络相互作用强度之间的动态相互作用.
- 分析全球和五大经济体 (中国,美国,日本,印度,西班牙) 在各种危机阶段的这些关系.
主要方法:
- 利用一个新的Lotka-Volterra框架来建模三个核心关系.
- 分析了从1995年到2023年的全球数据和特定国家的案例研究,涵盖了八个危机阶段.
主要成果:
- 网络效应放大了可再生能源对抗性的影响,但随着排放量的增加,这种影响会减少.
- 尽管可再生能源的增长,但在没有综合网络政策的情况下,碳排放的减少会被推迟.
- 矛盾的是,排放可以在危机期间增强短期网络弹性.
- 在全球范围内,可再生能源增加了弹性,但排放仍然存在;根据政策和能源采用,各国具体分析显示了不同的结果.
结论:
- 网络增强的可再生能源整合与结构改革的同步对于长期的工业弹性和有效的减排措施至关重要.
- 需要具体的国家战略,正如中国的网络实力,日本的脱碳化,印度的再生能源挑战和美国对化石燃料的依赖所证明的那样.
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