在麻醉后护理单位预测老年患者的亚症候群 Delirium 的 nomogram 和风险分层:前性队列研究
Guoting Ma1, Wenjun Yan1, Qian Yang2
1Department of Anesthesiology, Gansu Provincial Hospital, No.204 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou 730000, China.
International journal of nursing studies advances
|August 20, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种名谱,用于预测老年患者的副症状妄想,并确定了关键的风险因素. 这种模式有效地对患者进行分层,
科学领域:
- 老年医学
- 麻醉学
- 危急护理医学
背景情况:
- 一种过渡性状态,对老年患者在手术后存在风险.
- 早期发现对于预防不良结果至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个可靠的潜症状妄想风险预测模型.
- 在麻醉后护理单元中确定副症状妄想的独立预测因素.
主要方法:
- 参与2636名老年患者的前性队列研究.
- 使用混评估方法进行评估.
- 使用LASSO和逻辑回归来构建一个名ogram模型.
主要成果:
- 潜症状妄想的发生率为18. 6%.
- 确定的危险因素:年龄,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞的比率,夜间手术,低温,PCA和通风时间.
- 诺莫格拉姆显示出优异的预测性能 (AUC为0. 904,验证为0. 850).
结论:
- 诺米图有效地识别出患有潜症状妄想症的高风险患者.
- 在有针对性的干预中帮助风险分层,以改善术后恢复.
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