早期结直肠癌的增加:一个队列效应
Laura Downham1, Mathieu Laversanne2, Sandra Perdomo3
1International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Early detection, Prevention and Infections Branch (EPR), Lyon, France.
Journal of the National Cancer Institute
|August 23, 2025
概括
早期结肠直肠癌 (eoCRC) 的发病率在全球年轻人中正在上升. 1990年代出生的个体比1960年代出生的个体有5倍的风险,
科学领域:
- 癌症学
- 流行病学
- 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 在全球范围内观察到早期结直肠癌 (eoCRC) 的发病率上升.
- 在50岁以下的个体中定义为结直肠癌.
研究的目的:
- 调查多个国家的eocrc发病率的长期趋势.
- 根据性别分析趋势,并确定与出生队列相关的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用澳大利亚,加拿大,英国和美国的长期癌症发病率数据 (从1995年或更早).
- 用于趋势分析的雇员估计年百分比变化 (EAPC) 和年龄周期队列 (APC) 模型.
- 根据国家和性别进行分层分析.
主要成果:
- 自1960年以来,所有被调查的国家都显示eocrc的发病率在连续的出生队列中增加.
- 1990年代出生的人比1960年代出生的人有至少5倍的风险.
- 在所有国家观察到显著的队列效应,在较年轻的年龄段 (20-29岁) 发现更明显的发病率增加.
结论:
- 这项研究突出显示,在连续的出生群体中,尤其是1990年代出生的人群中,eOCRC的数量显著增加.
- 观察到的趋势表明,导致eocrc的因素可能起源于生命早期,可能是由于年轻时开始暴露并随着时间的推移而积累.
- 在40岁之前发生的急剧增加强调了对早期风险因素和预防策略的进一步研究的需要.
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