降水模式的变化加剧了草原循环的全球不平等
Miao Zheng1,2,3, Jinglan Cui1,2,3, Xiaoxi Wang4,5,6
1State Key Laboratory of Soil Pollution Control and Safety, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Nature communications
|August 23, 2025
概括
全球草原循环因气候变化而发生变化,影响生产力. 适应策略可以减轻负面影响,提高收获,确保经济价值.
科学领域:
- 生态学
- 环境科学
- 生物地质化学
背景情况:
- 草原是地球上最大的生态系统,通过生物地化学循环对生态系统服务至关重要.
- 气候变化,特别是降雨模式的变化, 破坏了这些循环, 限制了草原的生产力.
研究的目的:
- 在气候变化中期情景下,预测全球输入,收获和草原余的变化.
- 评估这些循环变化的区域差异.
- 评估适应措施的潜力
主要方法:
- 综合了2944个实验观察结果.
- 多种生态系统模型的整合.
- 对气候变化影响进行情景分析.
主要成果:
- 预计全球的投入,收获和剩余量将分别增加1000万,700万和300万.
- 在某些地区 (如美国,亚洲) 降水量增加,而降水量减少导致其他地区 (如撒哈拉以南非洲) 降水量减少,存在显著的区域差异.
- 适应措施可以减少每年12Tg和22Tg的输入量,并增加每年10Tg的收获量.
结论:
- 气候变化导致的降水转移将导致草原气动态的区域差异显著.
- 积极的适应策略对于管理草原循环,提高生产力和避免重大经济损失至关重要.
- 实施适应措施可以显著减少的投入和余,同时促进收获,为可持续的草地管理提供了途径.
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