进化有利于在具有高未来收益的顺序相互作用中产生积极偏见的推理
Marco Saponara1, Elias Fernández Domingos1,2, Jorge M Pacheco3,4
1Machine Learning Group, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Campus de la Plaine, Brussels, Belgium.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
|August 27, 2025
概括
人类的行为往往偏离合理的预期. 这项研究表明进化游戏理论倾向于积极偏见的推理,导致理性行为的灭绝,并强调认知偏见作为适应性策略.
科学领域:
- 进化游戏理论
- 认知科学
- 行为经济学
背景情况:
- 经验证据表明人类行为经常偏离游戏理论的理性.
- 人们可能对未来的结果表现出不切实际的期望,但这些偏见的进化基础尚未得到充分理解.
研究的目的:
- 研究推理能力和认知偏见的共同进化.
- 模拟不同的推理策略,包括偏见的,在进化动态中如何表现.
主要方法:
- 使用进化游戏理论来模拟人口中的相互作用.
- 实施k级推理策略,包括既无偏见的,又有偏见的 (积极和消极) 方法.
- 应用增量千足游戏来表示顺序交互.
主要成果:
- 选择始终支持积极偏见的推理策略.
- 在这种动态下, 理性行为可能会消失.
- 偏见与有限的理性共同发展,限制推理深度.
- 积极倾向的代理人可以与非推理的代理人共存,形成一个新的平衡.
结论:
- 认知偏见,如愿望思维,可能是应对社会困境的适应性特征.
- 偏离理性判断可能是进化上的优势.
- 这项研究提供了认知偏见的进化根源及其在社会互动中的作用.
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