非洲的登革热负担十年 (2013-2023年):一个系统性审查
Gaspary O Mwanyika1, Monika Moir2, Abdualmoniem O Musa3
1Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation (CERI), School for Data Science and Computational Thinking, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa; Department of Applied Sciences, Mbeya University of Science and Technology, Mbeya, Tanzania.
Travel medicine and infectious disease
|August 27, 2025
概括
非洲的登革热病例正在增加,在2013年至2023年期间报告了近9万例确诊病例. 西非,特别是布基纳法索的发病率很高,强调需要改善登革热监测和干预措施.
科学领域:
- 流行病学
- 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病
背景情况:
- 登革热是一种由蚊子传播的全球性疾病.
- 过去十年来非洲登革热的流行病学数据有限.
- 这份报告主要关注2013年至2023年非洲的登革热趋势.
研究的目的:
- 分析非洲2013年至2023年的登革热流行趋势.
- 确定高发病率的地区和促成因素.
- 为预防和控制登革热制定公共卫生战略.
主要方法:
- 在PubMed/MEDLINE和Scopus (2013-2023) 的系统文献搜索.
- 包括世卫组织和非洲疾病控制中心的官方记录.
- 负二项模型用于趋势预测,R用于统计分析.
主要成果:
- 研究人员回顾了来自非洲25个国家的87项研究.
- 据报道,大约有20万例疑似登革热病例,9万例确诊病例,以及900例死亡病例.
- 超过80%的病例发生在西非;DENV1和DENV2占主导地位,与雨季有关.
结论:
- 非洲的登革热发病率上升需要加强监测和有针对性的干预.
- 进一步的研究对于了解传播动态和区域适用性至关重要.
- 加强区域公共卫生基础设施对于管理未来的疫情至关重要.
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