土地的可用性和政策承诺限制了全球气候减缓的森林化
Yijie Wang1, Yakun Zhu1, Susan C Cook-Patton2,3
1School of Atmospheric Sciences, Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Ministry of Education), Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies, Sun Yat-sen University, Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China.
概括
森林可以通过封存碳来缓解气候变化. 然而,由于土壤碳的可变性和土地的可用性限制,全球碳封存估计不确定.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 减缓气候变化
- 森林生态
背景情况:
- 森林化包括植树和再造林,通过生物质和土壤中的碳捕集提供了减缓气候变化的潜力.
- 全球森林植被减缓估计的不确定性源于土壤碳捕获率和土地可用性评估的变化.
研究的目的:
- 开发与植树相关的土壤碳变化的全球地图.
- 在不同的土地可用性情景下提供更准确的碳封存潜力估计.
主要方法:
- 开发全球地图,详细说明植树造成的土壤碳增加和损失.
- 分析碳捕获潜力,考虑土地可用性的限制,以避免白度引起的变暖等负面影响,并保护水资源和生物多样性.
主要成果:
- 森林化在全球范围内占有3.89亿公 (考虑到限制),到2050年可以封存39.9千克的碳,这一数字低于之前的预测.
- 当土地可用性仅限于当前的政策承诺 (120万公) 时,碳封存潜力减少到12.5倍.
- 土壤碳变化主要观察到土壤上层.
结论:
- 通过植树实现更高的碳捕获需要扩大专用植树面积.
- 加强国家承诺对于拥有大量未开发林业潜力的国家来说至关重要,以加强缓解气候变化的努力.
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