应对全球灾难风险的公众态度:新西兰案例研究
John Kerr1, Matt Boyd2, Nick Wilson1
1University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
概括
大多数新西兰成年人支持政府对全球灾难性风险 (GCR) 的规划,例如流行病和人工智能. 人们倾向于制定具体的计划和专门的机构来应对这些极端威胁.
科学领域:
- 社会风险
- 公共政策
- 风险管理
背景情况:
- 全球灾难性风险对人类文明构成重大威胁.
- 新西兰对GCR的公众认知和政府应对策略研究不足.
研究的目的:
- 测量新西兰公众对政府对GCR采取行动的支持.
- 确定影响公众支持GCR准备的人口和态度因素.
主要方法:
- 在2024年7月对1012名新西兰成年人进行了代表性调查.
- 两个问题评估了对政府规划的支持和对极端风险的专门机构.
- 多变量模型分析了支持的人口和信任相关预测因素.
主要成果:
- 66%的人支持政府对极端风险的计划;60%的人支持专门的机构.
- 支持与年龄,教育,收入和对科学家的信任有积极的相关性.
- 基于性别,种族或政治取向的支持没有显著差异.
结论:
- 新西兰公众绝大多数支持政府为灾难性风险做好准备.
- 建议使用审议方法进行进一步的研究,以了解反对和政策权衡.
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