美国电力市场的电力传输价值及其驱动因素
Julie Mulvaney Kemp1, Dev Millstein2, Will Gorman2
1Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA. jmulvaneykemp@lbl.gov.
Nature communications
|August 28, 2025
概括
投资电力传输基础设施提供了显著的价值,增加产能每年可能节省11600万美元. 尽管价值高,但发展面临障碍,这表明需要改进电网基础设施规划.
科学领域:
- 电气工程
- 能源经济学
- 电网基础设施
背景情况:
- 电力传输基础设施对于电网可靠性至关重要,尤其是在极端天气和供应中断期间.
- 它还在实现低成本电力系统方面发挥着关键作用.
- 了解传输的经济价值和成本效益对于战略发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化美国额外的电力传输能力的经济价值.
- 评估输电基础设施发展的成本效益.
- 确定阻碍有价值的电网基础设施扩建的障碍.
主要方法:
- 美国 2012 年至 2022 年的批发能源市场价格分析.
- 计算区域间额外传输容量的中位数.
- 年化输电基础设施成本与市场价值的比较.
主要成果:
- 区域间额外的转移容量每年平均价值为1.16亿美元.
- 由于短期运营变化,传输的市场价值集中,5%的时间至少占总价值的45%.
- 年化基础设施成本往往低于市场价值,区域连接的价值与成本比率超过4.
结论:
- 扩大电力传输能力具有显著的经济价值和成本效益.
- 发展重要电网基础设施可能存在障碍.
- 这些发现支持加强电网基础设施建模和规划以改善能源系统.
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