在动脉道路上行人碰撞的行为和心理决定因素与随机参数模型的证据
Ahmed Hossain1, Subasish Das1, Monire Jafari2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX, 78666, USA.
Scientific reports
|August 28, 2025
概括
在主要的道路上行人死亡率很高. 这项研究发现黑暗环境,驾驶员的错误和酒精损害增加了车祸的风险,而注意的行为则减少了这一风险.
科学领域:
- 道路安全问题
- 运输工程
- 行为心理学
背景情况:
- 尽管公路里行驶的里程很少,但这对行人来说是不成比例的.
- 了解行为和心理因素对于减轻风险至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析路易斯安那州主要和次要动脉上的行人撞车事故.
- 确定严重或致命伤害结果的行为和情境决定因素.
主要方法:
- 分析了1722起主要动脉和1614起小动脉的行人撞车事故 (2017-2021年).
- 随机参数多项逻辑模型的应用与平均值和方差的异性.
主要成果:
- 感知挑战 (黑暗),驾驶员错误 (偏离车道) 和酒精损害是严重碰撞的关键预测因素.
- 低能见度,单车事故和特定的人口因素增加了风险.
- 警和保持车道等主动行为可以降低受伤的可能性.
结论:
- 风险因素及其影响在主动脉和小动脉之间有所不同.
- 安全系统方法的干预措施应将工程解决方案与行为相关的策略结合起来.
- 建议针对驾驶障碍,感知增强和风险群体进行有针对性的干预.
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