结合列表实验和直接问题以改善堕胎发生率的估计
Heide M Jackson1, Michael S Rendall1,2
1Maryland Population Research Center, College of Behavioral & Social Sciences, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, Maryland, United States.
直接询问堕胎问题导致报告不足. 一种新的综合数据方法通过将列表实验与直接问题相结合来改善堕胎发生率的估计,从而获得更准确的结果.
科学领域:
- 生殖健康
- 调查方法
- 公共卫生统计
背景情况:
- 在调查中直接询问往往会导致敏感行为如堕胎的报道不足.
- 现有的方法,如列表实验,试图减轻这种偏差,但可能仍然无法捕捉完整的发病率.
研究的目的:
- 评估综合数据估计器在改善累计终身堕胎发生率的有效性.
- 将组合数据估计器的准确性与传统的直接询问和单独的列表实验方法进行比较.
主要方法:
- 使用组合数据估计器将列表实验答案与直接堕胎问题整合起来.
- 评估了美国四个州的累计终身堕胎发生率的估计准确性.
- 将组合数据估计器的结果与仅从直接问题和单独列表实验中得出的估计结果进行比较.
主要成果:
- 与列表实验 (11.0%) 和直接询问 (9.6%) 方法相比,综合数据估计器的堕胎发生率估计高 (12.9%).
- 综合数据的估计在统计上和实质上高于独立使用的任何方法的估计.
- 与列表实验相比,直接问题对州级偏差的变化较小.
结论:
- 综合数据估计器显著提高了堕胎发生率的估计,特别是在克服与直接问题相关的不足报告方面.
- 这种综合方法提供了更可靠,更准确的累计终身堕胎发病率.
- 这些发现表明,综合数据估计器是生殖健康研究和政策的宝贵工具.
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