在需求不确定性下为体育旅游提供最佳的补贴设计:多个代理商的战略互动框架
1University of South China, Hengyang, Hunan, China.
PloS one
|August 29, 2025
概括
对于体育旅游综合目的地 (STID) 来说,以游客为导向的补贴优于基于投资的补贴,因为它提高了所有运营商的利和投资. 预算均等有利于游客补贴,特别是需求稳定,而需求冲击则会放大这两种机制.
科学领域:
- 旅游经济学
- 游戏理论
- 政策分析
背景情况:
- 综合体育旅游目的地 (STID) 涉及核心和辅助运营商之间的复杂互动.
- 有效的补贴机制对于优化STID业绩和经济影响至关重要.
- 了解经营者对不同类型补贴的反应对于政策设计至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个动态的游戏模型,分析性传播感染的补贴机制.
- 比较基于投资和游客驱动的补贴的经济影响.
- 评估需求波动对补贴有效性的影响.
主要方法:
- 动态游戏建模以模拟操作员的互动.
- 对三种补贴方案进行比较分析:无补贴,基于投资和以游客为导向.
- 在不同的需求条件下模拟场景,包括需求冲击.
主要成果:
- 基于投资的补贴增加了核心运营商的支出和游客人数,但没有刺激支持运营商的投资.
- 游客驱动的补贴增加了所有运营商的投资,利和旅游量.
- 当补贴预算相等且需求稳定时,游客驱动的补贴比基于投资的补贴更有效.
- 需求冲击加剧了这两种补贴的积极影响.
结论:
- 游客驱动的补贴为协调旅游生态系统和在STID中实现更广泛的经济效益提供了卓越的机制.
- 由于对补贴的反应不对称,对核心和辅助运营商来说需要不同的政策方法.
- 需求波动可以提高补贴政策的有效性,强调适应性战略的重要性.
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