中国各年龄段的省际移民的空间模式和决定因素
Hua Zhang1, Chunyun Chen1, Xin Li1
1Beijing Key Laboratory of Environmental Remote Sensing and Digital Cities, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
PloS one
|August 29, 2025
概括
在中国
科学领域:
- 社会学
- 人口统计
- 人类地理
背景情况:
- 移民模式在不同年龄段有很大差异.
- 了解这些差异对于中国有效的政策制定至关重要.
- 生命阶段会影响迁移的意图和空间分布.
研究的目的:
- 揭示中国各个年龄段的不同省际移民模式.
- 确定影响这些年龄特定移民趋势的潜在驱动因素.
- 为移民管理提供有针对性的政策回应.
主要方法:
- 使用了2017年中国移民动态调查的数据.
- 采用了一个扩展的重力模型, 结合了拉索惩罚的波桑回归.
- 分析了跨年人群迁移的空间模式和影响因素.
主要成果:
- 在不同年龄组的移民模式中观察到显著的异质性.
- 劳动年龄人口从中部地区迁移到发达地区.
- 老年人向北京和上海迁移,
结论:
- 在中国, 移民取决于年龄, 具有不同的空间和动机特征.
- 经济因素是劳动年龄人口的主要驱动因素.
- 老年人迁移受到环境因素的影响,而不是距离,因此需要量身定制的政策方法.
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