区域海平面变化和沿海影响的前景
Kathleen L McInnes1, Robert J Nicholls2, Roderik van de Wal3,4
1Climate Science Centre, CSIRO Environment, Aspendale, 3195, Australia.
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures
|August 29, 2025
概括
海平面科学已经进步, 但气候服务仍然不均衡. 未来的预测面临不确定性,需要共同生产以有效地规划沿海地区和危险管理.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 海洋学
- 沿海研究
背景情况:
- 世界气候研究计划关于区域海平面变化和沿海影响的重大挑战结束,强调了进展和差距.
- 海平面科学和气候服务已经进步,但全球发展不均.
研究的目的:
- 综合海平面科学进展,优先事项和实践者的需求.
- 确定高端和长期海平面预测中的关键不确定性.
- 概述未来海平面科学和气候服务的路径.
主要方法:
- 文献综合
- 科学发展的分析
- 对从业人员要求的审查
- 对气候服务的评估
主要成果:
- 由于排放,冰盖动态和气候转折点,对高端海平面预测仍然存在严重的不确定性.
- 实践者需要局部化的海平面信息,包括规划的中端和高端预测,以及近期危险数据,如极端的海平面和陆地沉降.
- 科学家和实践者之间的合作对于最大限度地提高海平面科学的影响至关重要.
结论:
- 需要继续研究以减少海平面上升的长期预测的不确定性.
- 加强气候服务必须为沿海适应和规划提供本地化,可操作的信息.
- 加强科学界和实践界之间的合作对于有效管理海平面上升至关重要.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
24.7K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.7K
Effect of Sea Water on Concrete
425
Concrete exposed to seawater can undergo degradation like the dissolution of ettringite and gypsum, increasing the material's porosity and decreasing its strength. In contrast, the crystallization of salts within the concrete's pores can cause expansion, particularly above the waterline where evaporation occurs. Nonetheless, this expansion only happens when seawater, enabled by the concrete's permeability, manages to infiltrate the structure.
Concrete in areas between tide marks,...
Concrete in areas between tide marks,...
425
Influence of Earth's Curvature and Atmospheric Refraction on Leveling
269
During leveling, the Earth's curvature and atmospheric refraction introduce deviations in the line of sight from a true horizontal reference. When the line of sight is leveled, it remains perpendicular to the plumb line only at a single point. Beyond this, it deviates due to the Earth’s curvature, represented by the correction C. For a sight distance D, the deviation can be derived using the relationship:This relationship shows that the deviation increases quadratically with distance.
269
What is Climate?
18.8K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
18.8K
Regional Terms
12.5K
Regional terms describe anatomy by dividing the body parts into different regions that contain structures involved in contributing similar functions. Using these terms helps increase the accurate description and identification of the particular region of interest or region affected by the disease.
Primarily, the human body has two major regions, the axial and appendicular regions. The axial region comprises regions from the head to the abdomen and makes up the central body axis. In contrast,...
Primarily, the human body has two major regions, the axial and appendicular regions. The axial region comprises regions from the head to the abdomen and makes up the central body axis. In contrast,...
12.5K
Responses to Drought and Flooding
10.9K
Water plays a significant role in the life cycle of plants. However, insufficient or excess of water can be detrimental and pose a serious threat to plants.
10.9K


