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监禁对就业,收入和税务申报的影响

  • 0Carnegie Mellon University and NBER.
Econometrica : Journal of the Econometric Society +

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概括

此摘要是机器生成的。

监禁会暂时减少经济活动和收入. 然而,对就业和工资的长期影响是微不足道的,这表明其他因素影响了以前被监禁的人的释放后结果.

科学领域

  • 犯罪学
  • 经济学
  • 社会学

背景情况

  • 监禁会对个人的经济稳定产生重大影响.
  • 了解监禁对就业和工资的长期影响对于政策制定至关重要.

研究的目的

  • 调查监禁对工资,自雇以及税收和转移的影响.
  • 区分监禁的短期和长期经济后果.

主要方法

  • 使用了两种准实验研究设计:判决指南中的不连续性和对法官的随机分配.
  • 分析了北卡罗来纳州和俄俄州的数据,

主要成果

  • 长达一年的监禁导致累计收入在五年内下降13%.
  • 没有观察到超过五年对就业,工资或自雇的长期负面影响.
  • 而不是监禁本身,

结论

  • 监禁造成短期经济混乱,但似乎对就业或工资没有持久的负面影响.
  • 预先存在的条件和其他刑事司法系统的相互作用更有可能解释以前被监禁的人的经济困难.
  • 政策干预应考虑解决上游因素,以改善这一群体的经济成果.

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