通过深度强化学习和基于Copula的建模,实现多目标优化和风险评估的水,能源,食品和土地联系框架
Zuowen Tan1, Han Li1, Zhaoyang Zhu1
1College of Information, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, PR China.
Water research
|August 30, 2025
概括
气候变化增加了水,能源,粮食和土地联系 (WEFLN) 的风险. 本研究介绍了一个使用R-vine Copula和深度强化学习的框架,以识别和优化WEFLN管理,提高资源可用性和经济效益.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与管理
- 资源经济学
- 适应气候变化
背景情况:
- 气候变化加剧了水,能源,粮食和土地之间的相互依赖,对传统的资源管理构成挑战.
- 现有研究很难量化多种资源短缺的风险,
- 面对复杂的互动,需要先进的分析工具来有效管理.
研究的目的:
- 在WEFLN中开发和验证系统风险识别,优化和协调评估的综合框架.
- 量化水,能源和土地资源之间的共同风险的依赖结构.
- 实现WEFLN系统的协同优化,以改善资源利用和经济效益.
主要方法:
- 使用R-vine Copula构建了一个多维联合概率模型来评估风险相互作用.
- 开发了基于Copula的机会受限模糊多目标编程 (CCFMOP) 进行协作优化.
- 采用混乱的多目标进化算法,使用深度Q网络和分解来解决优化模型.
- 使用合协调重力模型 (CCGM) 来评估系统内和系统间的联系.
主要成果:
- 在R-vine Copula中,有效地模拟了水,电力和土地资源的联合分配.
- 模拟了六个风险场景,证明了框架的适用性.
- 在S1情景中,最佳权衡方案 (BTS) 提高了水供需指数 (SDI) 22.1%,能源生产率 (EP) 8.7%,食品经济效益 (EB) 6.2%.
结论:
- 拟议的三位一体框架系统地确定了WEFLN的联合资源短缺风险.
- 该框架可实现多目标的协调优化,平衡资源可用性和经济效益.
- 这种综合方法为加强应对气候变化影响的区域协调发展能力提供了科学基础.
相关概念视频
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
100
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
100
Multi-input and Multi-variable systems
149
Cruise control systems in cars are designed as multi-input systems to maintain a driver's desired speed while compensating for external disturbances such as changes in terrain. The block diagram for a cruise control system typically includes two main inputs: the desired speed set by the driver and any external disturbances, such as the incline of the road. By adjusting the engine throttle, the system maintains the vehicle's speed as close to the desired value as possible.
In the absence...
In the absence...
149
Multicompartment Models: Overview
252
Multicompartment models are mathematical constructs that depict how drugs are distributed and eliminated within the body. They segment the body into several compartments, symbolizing various physiological or anatomical areas connected through drug transfer processes such as absorption, metabolism, distribution, and elimination.
These models offer a more comprehensive representation of drug behavior in the body than one-compartment models. They accommodate the complexity of drug distribution,...
These models offer a more comprehensive representation of drug behavior in the body than one-compartment models. They accommodate the complexity of drug distribution,...
252
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
100
Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
100
Decision Making
228
Decision-making is a fundamental cognitive process that involves evaluating alternatives and selecting among them. This process can range from simple choices, such as deciding what to wear, to complex decisions, like choosing a major in college or a career path. The complexity of the decision often dictates the approach we use, which can be broadly categorized into two types: automatic and controlled decision-making.
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
228
Decision Making: P-value Method
5.7K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the P-value method includes calculating the P- value using the sample data and interpreting it.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
5.7K


