美国COVID-19大流行后肺炎球菌死亡人数的变化
Lianhan Shang1, Stephanie Perniciaro1, Daniel M Weinberger1
1Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health.
概括
在COVID-19早期,肺炎球菌 (肺炎球菌) 死亡人数保持稳定,但在2021年中期与三角洲变种相吻合,死亡人数升. 在大流行期间,呼吸道病毒显著影响了肺炎球菌疾病的严重程度.
科学领域:
- 流行病学
- 传染病的发展动态
- 公共卫生监测
背景情况:
- 了解COVID-19大流行期间 (2020-2022) 肺炎球菌死亡趋势至关重要.
- 关于这些变化的先前数据仍然有限.
研究的目的:
- 分析2014年至2022年美国肺炎球菌死亡率的变化.
- 评估COVID-19大流行对肺炎球菌死亡的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用美国生命统计数据 (国家卫生统计中心) 从2014-2022年.
- 采用通用线性模型来确定疫情前的趋势 (2014年1月至2020年2月).
- 推断模型预测疫情期间预期的肺炎球菌死亡率 (2020年3月至2022年12月).
主要成果:
- 在典型的季节性模式下,肺炎球菌死亡率在2020年初几乎没有变化.
- 2020年底/2021年初,死亡人数下降,低于预期水平.
- 肺炎球菌死亡人数在2021年中期显著增加,与COVID-19的三角形波发生一致.
结论:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,肺炎球菌死亡率显著转变.
- 这些发现强调了呼吸道病毒在肺炎球菌疾病的发展和严重性的关键作用.
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