在中国西北的西山水盆地,水储能力的时空变化和影响因素
Na-Na Chen1, Yu-Fei Cheng1, Jun-de Wang1
1Gansu Academy for Water Conservancy, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology
|August 31, 2025
概括
由于土地使用和气候因素,西汉水盆的水量从1990年至2020年增加. 未来的水资源节约可能会因降水量减少而受到限制,这凸显了对生态土地转型的需要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 水文学
- 生态学
背景情况:
- 保护水资源对于山区和流域的生态恢复和水资源管理至关重要.
- 了解节水的时空模式及其驱动因素对于有效的区域规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析西汉水盆地的空间和时间变化.
- 研究节水,气候和人类活动之间的关系.
- 通过场景模拟和地质探测器建模,探索影响水资源保护的驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 使用InVEST模型的水生产模块来评估水资源的节约.
- 使用皮尔森相关系数来分析变量之间的关系.
- 应用场景模拟和地质探测器建模,以确定节水的关键驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 从1990年到2020年,西山水域的水资源储量呈上升趋势,平均为38.35毫米.
- 西北和东南地区的空间分布较高,东北地区较低,山区较高.
- 降水量和节水量遵循下降后增加的模式;降水量和潜在蒸发量与节水量有显著的相关性.
结论:
- 森林,草原和耕地是节水的主要贡献者 (>60%).
- 驱动因素之间的相互作用,特别是土地使用和潜在的蒸发/NDVI,比单个因素具有更大的解释能力.
- 未来的气候变化,特别是降水减少,对水资源的保护构成威胁;将未使用的土地转化为生态类型可以改善环境.
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