内生增长和信息和通信技术对波兰经济发展轨迹的影响
J S Keshminder1, Maciej Woźniak2, Rafal Kusa2
1Department of Economics and Financial Studies, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia, 40450, Malaysia.
Open research Europe
|September 2, 2025
概括
信息和通信技术 (ICT) 和劳动力大大促进了波兰的经济增长,而资本投资则产生了负面影响. 这些发现为数字经济提供了洞察力,并为可持续发展的政策提供了信息.
科学领域:
- 宏观经济学
- 数字经济分析
- 经济增长理论
背景情况:
- 波兰的数字革命是由技术进步和政府支持推动的.
- 信息和通信技术 (ICT) 的整合是经济转型的关键.
- 分析需要检查资本形成,劳动力,人力资本,创新,外国直接投资和ICT基础设施等指标.
研究的目的:
- 调查波兰信息和通信技术采用与经济增长之间的关系.
- 分析各种经济因素对波兰增长轨迹的影响.
- 在数字化经济的背景下,为内生增长理论提供经验证据.
主要方法:
- 使用33年 (1990-2022) 的数据集进行全面分析.
- 使用自行回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 边界测试方法.
- 评估短期和长期的经济动态.
主要成果:
- 信息和通信技术,劳动力和外国直接投资 (FDI) 对经济增长产生积极影响.
- 劳动力显示出对经济扩张的最大积极影响.
- 资本投资与经济增长有负相关性,可能是由于分配效率低下.
结论:
- 提出了政策建议,以利用ICT和其他因素促进经济增长.
- 这项研究为新兴数字经济体的内生增长理论提供了新的见解.
- 强调劳动力和ICT在波兰经济发展中的关键作用.
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