评估生存模式的有效和有意义的方式
Shi-Ang Qi1, Neeraj Kumar2, Mahtab Farrokh1
1Computing Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
概括
用受审查的数据评估生存预测模型是很困难的. 这项研究引入了一种新的指标,即使用伪观测的平均绝对误差,它准确地对被审查的生存数据进行了模型性能排名.
科学领域:
- 生物统计学
- 机器学习
- 数据科学
背景情况:
- 评估生存预测模型通常使用平均绝对误差 (MAE).
- 测试组中的右控数据使准确的MAE计算变得复杂.
- 现有的指标可能无法可靠地评估被审查的个体的模型性能.
研究的目的:
- 探索和提出有效的估计MAE的生存数据集与权利审查的个人.
- 引入一种新的方法,用于生成现实的半合成存活数据集,用于计量评估.
主要方法:
- 在包含被审查个体的存活数据上研究了估计MAE的各种指标.
- 开发了一种创建半合成生存数据集的新方法.
- 使用生成的数据集对不同MAE估计指标的性能进行比较.
主要成果:
- 拟议的指标是使用伪观测的MAE,准确地对生存模型的性能进行排名.
- 这种新型指标接近于真正的MAE,并且优于其他几种方法.
- 半合成数据集被证明是评估生存指标的有效方法.
结论:
- 使用伪观测的MAE是用审查数据评估生存预测模型的可靠指标.
- 拟用于生成半合成数据的方法有助于进行可靠的计量评估.
- 这项工作提供了一个更准确的方法来评估在审查的情况下生存模型的表现.
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