在挪威畜牧业中控制抗菌素耐药性到2050年:一种参与式战略开发方法
Richard Helliwell1, Lisa Boden2, Eirik Magnus Fuglestad1
1Ruralis - Institute for Rural and Regional Research, Trondheim, Norway.
Frontiers in veterinary science
|September 2, 2025
概括
抗菌素耐药性 (AMR) 的治理需要远见. 挪威的情景规划确定了关键的驱动因素和策略,以在未来的不确定性中保持低抗生素使用率和AMR流行率.
科学领域:
- 一个健康
- 兽医公共卫生
- 农业政策
背景情况:
- 抗菌素耐药性 (AMR) 对人类和动物健康构成重大长期风险.
- 由于社会,政治,经济,技术和环境因素不断变化,对抗药物耐药性的有效长期治理受到挑战.
- 通过持续的行业和国家合作,挪威成功地减少了抗生素的使用和牲畜中的抗药性流行.
研究的目的:
- 探索利益相关者对挪威畜牧业抗药性治理变化驱动因素和战略的看法.
- 设想可行的未来挑战,并确定在不确定的未来维持治理能力的战略应对措施.
- 根据不断变化的情况,制定维持低抗生素使用率和抗菌药物耐药性流行率的战略.
主要方法:
- 采用了场景规划方法.
- 收集和分析有关变革驱动因素和战略反应的利益相关者的看法.
- 该研究重点关注挪威畜牧业的国家背景.
主要成果:
- 确定了三个关键的变革驱动因素:国家资源优先,机构信任和全球地缘政治条件.
- 主要威胁包括信任的侵蚀,合作能力的丧失以及农业部门的社会经济紧张局势.
- 建议的行动包括加强地方网络,整合服务,利用人工智能进行监测,并维持机构/经济结构.
结论:
- 保持低抗生素使用率和AMR需要积极关注更广泛的结构和机构条件.
- 促进利益相关者之间的信任和合作对于有效的动物健康和抗药性治理至关重要.
- 整合技术和加强农民和兽医的支持系统对于未来的弹性至关重要.
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