应急准备和应对:大规模伤亡事件的策略
Safeer Ahmad Javid1, Maheen Jamil2, Bushra Noor3
1Trauma, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton and Hove, GBR.
Cureus
|September 2, 2025
概括
这项研究分析了巴基斯坦300起模拟大规模伤亡事件 (MCIs),发现改善紧急响应,结构化指挥系统和农村基础设施投资显著降低了MCI死亡率并提高了弹性.
科学领域:
- 灾难医疗
- 公共卫生准备工作
- 应急响应系统
背景情况:
- 大规模伤亡事件对全球医疗保健系统构成重大挑战.
- 巴基斯坦面临着由恐怖主义和自然灾害造成的高额资金负担.
- 有效的应急准备和应对策略对于减轻MCI的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 进行对巴基斯坦模拟的货币市场价值观的全面回顾性分析.
- 评估当前应急准备和应对策略的有效性.
- 确定影响MCI结果和政策改革的主要因素.
主要方法:
- 对300个模拟的CMI (2010-2024) 的回顾性分析.
- 描述性统计,探索性数据分析 (EDA),推断统计和预测建模.
- 线性和逻辑回归分析以确定死亡率和政策改革的预测因素.
主要成果:
- 恐怖袭击和自然灾害是最常见的MCI类型.
- 由于反应迟缓和基础设施有限,农村地区的死亡率和发病率较高.
- 死亡率的关键预测因素包括护理时间,基础设施状况,分拣类型和激增能力.
- 结构化指挥系统 (ICS/统一指挥) 和事件后审查的事件更有可能导致政策改革.
结论:
- 结构化的指挥系统,标准化的分类和农村基础设施的投资对于减少MCI死亡至关重要.
- 加强应急响应系统和实施事件后审查,提高系统的弹性和政策实施.
- 这项研究提供了基于证据的建议,以改善巴基斯坦和类似地区的MCI准备和应对.
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