关于提高预制建筑工程系统安全弹性策略的研究
Xiaogang Song1,2, Zehao Li3, Yaohua Liu4
1School of Management, Shijiazhuang Tiedao University, Shijiazhuang, 050043, Hebei Province, China. jmsxg@hueb.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|September 2, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了预制建筑的安全弹性,确定了关键因素,并使用贝叶斯网络来确定关键路径. 目的是为了更安全的建筑项目而提高风险抵抗力和恢复力.
科学领域:
- 建筑工程与管理
- 风险管理
- 系统的弹性
背景情况:
- 建筑行业越来越多地采用数字化,智能化,绿色化和工业化方法,
- 预制建筑的现有安全管理往往忽视了对风险干扰能力的系统分析.
- 要全面评估和改善预制建筑工程系统的安全性,需要从弹性角度来看.
研究的目的:
- 建立预制建筑工程的安全弹性指标系统.
- 开发一个贝叶斯网络模型来分析安全弹性.
- 确定提高预制建筑的安全弹性关键因素和途径.
主要方法:
- 文献审查和事故案例研究以确定影响因素.
- 确认因素分析 (CFA) 来验证指标系统.
- 贝叶斯网络模型用于因果推理和灵敏度分析.
主要成果:
- 建立了一个安全弹性指标系统.
- 使用贝叶斯网络分析确定了影响安全弹性的关键影响途径和敏感节点.
- 该模型有效地确定了改善风险抵抗力和恢复能力的关键领域.
结论:
- 弹性视角为预制建筑安全管理提供了一种新方法.
- 开发的贝叶斯网络模型为分析和增强安全弹性提供了强大的工具.
- 基于确定关键路径的有针对性的干预可以显著提高预制建筑工程系统的整体安全弹性.
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