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Updated: Sep 9, 2025

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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
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扩大城市的包容性风险基础设施建设
Fabrizio Nocera1, Yahya Gamal2,3, Chenbo Wang1
1Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, London, UK.
Communications engineering
|September 2, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了城市基础设施规划的新框架,同时考虑了社会经济影响和自然灾害. 它有助于在成长中的城市创造更具包容性和风险敏感的发展.
科学领域:
- 城市规划和发展
- 社会经济建模
- 风险评估
背景情况:
- 目前的自然灾害风险模型忽视了基础设施设计的社会经济后果.
- 全球南方的城市扩张面临着平衡发展和风险的独特挑战.
研究的目的:
- 为城市基础设施发展提出以人为中心的决策框架.
- 将社会经济影响和自然灾害风险纳入基础设施规划.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个定制的基于代理的模型来模拟基础设施扩张对土地价值和住宅选择的影响.
- 在自然灾害中包含的宏观社会经济影响和基础设施性能.
- 在模拟全球南方环境的虚拟城市试验场中优化交通扩张.
主要成果:
- 该框架成功地模拟了由基础设施影响的动态土地价值和住宅位置决定.
- 它平衡了基础设施运营需求与自然灾害造成的潜在损失.
- 在代表性的城市环境中优化交通扩张.
结论:
- 拟议的框架为包容性,风险敏感的城市基础设施规划提供了一种新方法.
- 它解决了风险知情发展的意外社会经济后果.
- 适用于全球快速增长的危险城市,
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