关于植物疾病流行病学的过去,现在和未来的思考
1Department of Plant Pathology, The Ohio State University, Wooster, Ohio, USA;
Annual review of phytopathology
|September 3, 2025
概括
自1963年以来,植物疾病流行病学已经取得了显著的进步,结合了更多的数学和计算. 统计,人工智能和机器学习为更好的疾病建模和预测带来了进展.
科学领域:
- 植物病理学
- 流行病学
- 定量生物学
背景情况:
- 现代植物疾病流行病学始于1963年的一次国际会议和范德普朗克的书.
- 这个领域已经发展了60多年, 结合了先进的定量方法.
研究的目的:
- 探讨过去60年来植物疾病流行病学的重大发展.
- 突出数学,统计和计算方法的整合.
主要方法:
- 对植物疾病流行病学的历史发展进行回顾.
- 分析疾病建模和预测中的定量方法的演变.
主要成果:
- 植物疾病流行病学随着数学,统计和计算工具的使用增加而扩大.
- 两个主要领域:理论/半经验建模和实时流行病预测.
- 进步与统计,计算,机器学习和人工智能的进步有关.
结论:
- 范德普兰克在植物疾病流行病学方面的基本原则仍然很重要.
- 通过跨学科融合和技术创新,该领域继续发展.
- 未来的进展依赖于计算和数据驱动方法的持续发展.
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