中国的保险政策和农作物结构调整:对粮食系统的弹性和安全的影响
Jiawei Wang1,2, Zihui Yuan3, Zhihua Wu3
1School of Economics, Management and Law, Jiangxi Normal University of Science and Technology, Nanchang, China.
Frontiers in nutrition
|September 5, 2025
概括
农业保险有助于引导农民种植更多主要作物, 数字化培训和更广泛的覆盖, 尤其是在偏远地区, 提高其有效性.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学
- 粮食安全政策
- 农村发展
背景情况:
- 减少主要作物种植面积和增加非谷物种植面积威胁着中国的粮食安全.
- 农业保险被视为影响作物结构的政策工具.
- 关于保险在种植决策中的作用的经验证据有限.
研究的目的:
- 研究农业保险如何影响农民的作物结构调整.
- 确定冲击路径和缓解机制.
- 分析不同农民群体间的异质影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了2020年中国农村振兴调查 (CRRS) 的数据.
- 使用双极限托比特模型来分析保险的影响.
- 解决了内质性和探索异质效应.
主要成果:
- 农业保险显著增加了主要作物的种植比例.
- 数字技术培训增强了保险的激励效应.
- 保险在偏远地区更有效.
- 在受过高等教育的小规模农民和东部省的农民中观察到更强烈的影响.
结论:
- 农业保险是指导作物结构的有效政策工具.
- 加强政策沟通和扩大服务覆盖面至关重要.
- 加强保险可以加强国家粮食安全和可持续发展目标.
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