中国股市行业间波动性溢出效应的特征和动态演变
1Business School, Shanghai Normal University Tianhua College, Shanghai, China.
PloS one
|September 5, 2025
概括
这项研究揭示了中国制造业的出口风险溢出效应.
科学领域:
- 金融经济学
- * 网络分析
- * 中国股票市场动态
背景情况:
- 了解跨部门风险传播对于金融安全至关重要.
- *中国股票市场的相互联系影响了经济稳定.
- 之前的研究还没有完全绘制出28个行业的波动溢出效应.
研究的目的:
- 分析中国28个股票市场的波动关系和风险溢出效应.
- * 确定主要的风险传递和接收部门.
- * 评估全球重大事件 (COVID-19,俄罗斯和乌克兰冲突) 对市场互联性的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用网络连接方法来绘制波动溢出效应.
- 分析了跨部门风险传播的特征和动态演变.
- *使用了中国股票市场28个部门的时间序列数据.
主要成果:
- 制造业高度相关,是风险溢出的主要出口商.
- 金融部门是风险的主要受益者,与其他部门的相关性较低.
- * 在COVID-19早期增加的部门风险相关性没有持续;俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突的传染效应很小.
结论:
- 制造业和金融部门在中国的股票市场风险传播中扮演着不同的角色.
- * 事件对市场互联性的影响是暂时的,表明有弹性.
- * 调查结果为中国加强经济和金融风险管理提供了洞察力.
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