禽流感蔓延到家禽:环境影响和生物安全保护措施
Matthew Gonnerman1,2, Jennifer M Mullinax1, Andrew Fox3
1Department of Environmental Science and Technology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA.
One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
|September 8, 2025
概括
高致病性禽流感 (HPAI) 在家禽养殖场的溢出风险与野生鸟类的近距离和环境因素有关. 有效的生物安全措施,如消毒和适当的处置,大大降低了HPAI传播风险.
科学领域:
- 兽医流行病学 兽医流行病学
- 疾病生态学 疾病生态学
- 一个健康,一个健康.
背景情况:
- 高致病性禽流感 (HPAI) 对全球的家禽产业构成重大威胁.
- 了解野生鸟禽接口的病毒传播动态对于有效的疾病控制至关重要.
- 溢出事件受环境条件和接近受感染的野生鸟群的影响.
研究的目的:
- 评估HPAI在野生鸟类和农业界面的传播空间时间风险.
- 评估生物安全措施对农场水平HPAI风险的影响.
- 整合环境和农场级数据进行全面的风险评估.
主要方法:
- 贝叶斯联合概率逻辑回归模型应用于美国大陆数据.
- 纳入土地使用,天气和水鸟分布数据用于时空风险建模.
- 整合一个关于生物安全实践的农场级病例控制问卷数据集.
主要成果:
- 水鸟的丰富性,冬季降水量和温度与HPAI的时空风险有很强的相关性.
- 具体的生物安全实践,包括垃圾消毒,车辆洗车站和避免共享处置场所,与降低HPAI风险有关.
- 该模型有效地确定了HPAI监测的高风险时期和地点.
结论:
- 环境因素和野生鸟类的存在显著影响HPAI风险.
- 实施有针对性的生物安全措施可以减轻HPAI在家禽养殖场的溢出.
- 开发的模型为优化HPAI监测和农场级生物安全战略提供了有价值的见解.
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