相关实验视频
Updated: Jan 18, 2026

12:44
Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
8.4K
通过净当前价值评估来塑造弹性防洪系统设计.
Ghazi Al-Rawas1, Mohammad Reza Nikoo1, Mohammad Reza Hassani1
1Department of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.
PloS one
|September 9, 2025
概括
这项研究整合了水文弹性和成本效益分析,以优化洪水控制系统 (FCS). 最优的设计平衡了成本和弹性,大大减少了洪水量,提高了长期的经济可行性.
科学领域:
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 设计可持续的洪水控制系统 (FCS) 需要平衡系统的弹性和投资可行性.
- 像阿曼北巴蒂纳这样的地区面临极端的洪水事件,需要有效的管理策略.
研究的目的:
- 整合水文弹性和成本效益分析,以设计最佳的FCS网络.
- 确定洪水管理场景,平衡实施成本,系统弹性和溢出减少.
主要方法:
- 开发了风暴水管理模型 (SWMM) 用于洪水模拟.
- 结合SWMM与基于帕雷托信封的选择算法-II (PESA-II) 进行多目标优化.
- 使用净当前价值 (NPV) 评估长期经济可行性.
主要成果:
- 优化确定了非主导解决方案,平衡成本,弹性 (SUFRI) 和溢出.
- 北阿尔巴蒂纳地区的洪水管理场景表现出高度的弹性,并以合理的成本减少了溢出.
- 具有适度成本和较高SUFRI值的策略提供了最佳的财务回报和降低洪水风险.
结论:
- 在FCS设计中,优化对于解决冲突目标至关重要.
- 整合弹性和成本效益分析可以提高FCS的设计和决策.
- 选择的基于NPV的替代方案减少了77.9%的洪水量.
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